Wednesday, September 17, 2014

House of Representative Races: How Likely is a Democrat or a Republican to Win the Seat in These House Races? How Reliable Are These Predictions?


I have now been certified as an official write-in candidate for The U.S. House of Representatives for District 19 for Texas!

http://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/forms/write-in-ballot-cert-2014.pdf

I also have a new blog site for the campaign. It is:

http://votevance.blogspot.com

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CONTRIBUTE:

http://votevance.blogspot.com/2014/09/contribution-form-for-vote-vance_44.html

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Please continue to pray for Dr. Kent Brantly and all those involved with the Ebola outbreak in West Africa.




www.amazon.com has the exclusive right to sale my e-books in its Kindle Store.

Click on the book icon (picture) on the right to go directly to the Amazon site for that particular book


Primaries in November:

18) Louisiana Primary: November 4, 2014 ~ Congressional Run-Off (if needed): December 6, 2014

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Rob Maness | U.S. SenateLouisiana

Primary is November 4 which is election day!

Website: http://www.robmaness.com/

Donate: http://www.robmaness.com/donate/

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Joni Ernst | U.S. Senate - Iowa

Donate: https://secure.senateconservatives.com/step1?layout=ernst&c=b8c4e2995ab851746f0a138e300bca6f

Her website: http://www.joniforiowa.com/

Donate directly: https://secure.joniforiowa.com/donations/contribution/

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According to ABC radio news, President Obama has decided not to take action on amnesty for illegal aliens (“immigration reformin Left euphemism) until after the 2014 election. Of course, the reason he decided to wait was because some Democrat Senators up for reelection this year are scared silly that they will lose the election if MORE amnesty is implemented before the election. They think the American voter is TOO STUPID to realize there is no difference whether an illegal act is implemented before or after an election. It is still an illegal act that will do great harm to America!

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From: http://media.cq.com/pub/2013/race-ratings-rc/

“2014 Election Race Ratings

The Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call ratings for House, Senate and Governor are categorized to reflect the degree to which one party or the other is projected to win. Ratings don’t reflect how close a contest is expected to be, but rather the degree of certainty that one political party will win the seat.

Roll Call and CQ Weekly use ratings assigned by the Rothenberg Political Report, which are defined as follows: SAFE: As of today, the party indicated is all but certain to win the seat. FAVORED: One candidate has a substantial advantage, but an upset is still possible. LEAN: The party indicated has the edge, but the outcome is less certain than for races rated as favored. TILT: The outcome is effectively regarded as a tossup for each of these highly competitive seats, although the party indicated has a slight edge. TOSSUP: Neither party has an edge in these contests.

Competitive House Races
Republicans are well-positioned to retain their House majority, holding 211 seats currently rated safe and favored to win 11 more. For the Democrats to gain control of the chamber, they would need to win every seat where they have even a slight edge, plus about 20 more.

Tossup
1) Arizona 1: Ann Kirkpatrick (D)

2) Arizona 2: Ron Barber (D)

3) California 52: Scott Peters (D)

1) Colorado 6: Mike Coffman (R)

4) Illinois 10: Brad Schneider (D)

2) Iowa 3: Tom Latham (R)

5) New Hampshire 1: Carol Shea-Porter (D)

6) West Virginia 3: Nick J. Rahall II (D)

Tilts Democratic
1) Florida 26: Joe Garcia (D)

2) Illinois 12: Bill Enyart (D)

3) Massachusetts 6: John F. Tierney (D)

Leans Democratic
04) California 7: Ami Bera (D)

05) California 26: Julia Brownley (D)

3) California 31: Gary G. Miller (R)

06) Georgia 12: John Barrow (D)

07) Illinois 17: Cheri Bustos (D)

08) Maine 2: Michael H. Michaud (D)

09) Minnesota 7: Collin C. Peterson (D)

10) Minnesota 8: Rick Nolan (D)

11) New Hampshire 2: Ann McLane Kuster (D)

12) New York 1: Timothy H. Bishop (D)

4) New York 11: Michael G. Grimm (R)

13) Texas 23: Pete Gallego (D)

Favored Democratic
14) Arizona 9: Kyrsten Sinema (D)

15) California 36: Raul Ruiz (D)

16) Florida 18: Patrick Murphy (D)

17) New York 18: Sean Patrick Maloney (D)

18) New York 24: Dan Maffei (D)

Safe Democratic
(The rest of the current Democrat Senators. They were not listedmy addition)

Tilts Republican
01) Florida 2: Steve Southerland II (R)

02) Michigan 1: Dan Benishek (R)

03) Nebraska 2: Lee Terry (R)

04) New Jersey 3: Jon Runyan (R)

05) New York 19: Chris Gibson (R)

01) New York 21: Bill Owens (D)

Leans Republican
06) Arkansas 2: Tim Griffin (R)

07) California 21: David Valadao (R)

08) Illinois 13: Rodney Davis (R)

09) New York 23: Tom Reed (R)

10) Pennsylvania 6: Jim Gerlach (R)

11) Virginia 10: Frank R. Wolf (R)

12) West Virginia 2: Shelley Moore Capito (R)

Favored Republican
13) California 10: Jeff Denham (R)

14) Indiana 2: Jackie Walorski (R)

15) Michigan 7: Tim Walberg (R)

16) Michigan 8: Mike Rogers (R)

17) Michigan 11: Kerry Bentivolio (R)

18) Montana AL: no incumbent

19) Nevada 3: Joe Heck (R)

Safe Republicans
(The rest of the current Republican House members. They were not listedmy addition)

There may be more Districts that do not have an incumbent. I knew Montana did not because he is running for the Senate. There are too many to check for any others.

If your Congressman is on the list or your District, MAKE sure to vote the Republican into office! This election, we need as many Republicans as possible! In 2016, we work to cull out the RINOS!

IMPEACH THE PRESIDENT!

If not now, when?

If not now, why?

If not us, who?


The Obama Administration: How NOT to govern a nation!

CLOSE THE BORDER! NO REFUGEE STATUS!

NO AMNESTY! DEPORT THEM ALL!

IMPEACH THE PRESIDENT!

Impeachment IS the answer!

Galatians 6: 7-9 (NIV)

Do not be deceived: God cannot be mocked. A man reaps what he sows. Whoever sows to please their flesh, from the flesh will reap destruction; whoever sows to please the Spirit, from the Spirit will reap eternal life. Let us not become weary in doing good, for at the proper time we will reap a harvest if we do not give up.”

NEVER GIVE UP! NEVER SURRENDER! In the end, VICTORY belongs to GOD and HIS people! HIS people are, by definition, CHRISTIANS! Followers of JESUS, the CHRIST!

Impeach Barack Hussein Obama!

Impeach Barack Hussein Obama!

Impeach Barack Hussein Obama!

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Germany woman stands up against Islam invasion

https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?v=814230481935684

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Conservatism is calling

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42JK3ukEIbo#t=97

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An abortionist doctor who changed to pro-life. It is just under 17 minutes.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QiS-d7Jp5dk&list=PLXCGMTF9gXn0hBCWtZ2tH984nK0VmGg9c&index=1

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Texas Senator Ted CruzThe Cruz Missile: The Democrats want to destroy the First Amendment! This is over 50 minutes but well worth listening to as Senator Cruz exposes the Democrat Party for who they are.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NXAYFzhNhQg

Texas Senator Ted CruzThe Cruz Missile: “Vote Harry Reid Out!”

http://www.wnd.com/2014/08/ted-cruz-flays-harry-reid-over-bill-of-rights/#ooid=BxdnR5bzpeZSjUTiYsD3zTCGhILw4g6K

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Why SHE needs a gun:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SUAL6ie1ufc

What SHE should have done:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QTOLSmxqcMo

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Illinois Senator Dick Durbinup for reelection this yearcompares U.S. soldiers to those of Nazi Germany!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MqIlXfkylD4