Monday, March 26, 2012

Current Delegate Count as of March 26, 2012

RICK SANTORUM for President: http://www.ricksantorum.com/index.php
My six day a week political post may be found at http://christiangunslinger3.blogspot.com/

Tazewell County, Illinois General Assembly, and Illinois Congressional candidates and information links may be found at:


Rick Santorum won the Louisiana primary Saturday picking up 10 delegates to Mitt Romney’s 5. 31 delegates remain unallocated from Louisiana.

Results:

Rick Santorum 49%

Mitt Romney 26.7%

Newt Gingrich 15.9%

Ron Paul 6.1%

Other 2.3%

Rick beat Mitt by 22% in Louisiana and the mass media declares that Mitt Romney is the certain nominee for the Party. In Illinois, Mitt defeated Rick by 14% (less than predicted by the polls) and the mass media proclaims it a Romney landslide. Who do you think the mass media is supporting? At least until the general election, when strangely the mass media will suddenly all become Obama supporters!!! It’s is time for Newt Gingrich to throw his support to Rick. He can’t even generate a good showing in a Southern State anymore!!!   

From RICK SANTORUM

“Don

Hi my name is John Yob and I am assisting the Santorum campaign with delegate tracking.” 

“If you watch cable news then you know the Romney campaign is spending all of their energy these days talking about how the delegate race is over and Mitt Romney will be the nominee. Nothing could be further from the truth. (My placing this material in red!my addition) 

Here are some thoughts to guide you through the news coverage this week about the race for RNC delegates.   

Over the weeks and months ahead, I will email you periodically to update you on the process, provide you with the truth and help you cut through the Romney campaign’s spin. (And I will post on my delegate count link!my addition)

Thank you for all you are doing to support Rick Santorum for President!

Proud to stand with Rick,

John Yob

Romney Frontloaded Friendly States

Romney supporters on the Republican National Committee manipulated the calendar to front-load several of the states that were favorable towards him. That was beneficial to his early lead in the delegate count, however it is problematic for him as the race continues and moves towards less friendly states. This is one of the reasons that they have been emphasizing their fuzzy delegate math after Super Tuesday.

Race Moves towards Santorum’s Strength

The race for the nomination will soon start to move towards primaries and caucuses that are more favorable terrain for Rick Santorum. (Texas and Pennsylvania for two!
my addition) More importantly, the race will eventually move from primaries and caucuses that are often beauty contests to real county and state convention contests where actual delegates to the national convention are elected. 
Anyone who knows anything about state conventions knows that the most conservative candidate has a big advantage over a moderate candidate. (My placing this material in red!my addition)  In many cases, this advantage is overwhelming. 

Romney’s Delegate Problem

Romney has a delegate problem in that he will have a very hard time getting his moderate supporters elected as delegates in these convention systems. This was evident in Iowa this weekend where the Romney operation collapsed, and Santorum and Paul gained delegates.

The Real Calendar

The Real Calendar (TRC) officially kicked off this weekend in Iowa where activists gathered to begin the process of electing national convention delegates. It is clear to anyone who understands this process that a moderate candidate like Mitt Romney is going to have a difficult time winning as many delegates to the national convention in an Iowa County and State Convention system as the media calculated based on the Open Caucus system that took place in January. This system will play out in state after state, and although there will be hiccups in certain states, on average Rick Santorum will gain far more delegates than Mitt Romney through this delegate election process.

The Real Count

The count largely depends on how you calculate the delegates in states such as Iowa that have not yet elected their National Convention Delegates. For example, the RNC currently gives Santorum 0 delegates for Iowa, the media gives him 7. We believe he will end up with more than 7 delegates as the process plays out. We also believe that Romney will receive less.

Most of the publicly available delegate counts are fundamentally flawed because none of them have taken into account that conservative grassroots activists at county and state conventions will elect more Santorum delegates than a primary or even caucus beauty contest in the same respective state would allocate.

Therefore, the Real Counts are far better than the projected counts and will continue to improve as the National Convention approaches and states elect their actual convention delegates. The Santorum campaign will keep a tally called the Real Count moving forward. It will be based on the results of both the Real Calendar and the Traditional Calendar.”

As I’ve been saying all along! This race is FAR FROM OVER and RICK SANTORUM now has the momentum!!! It would be helpful though if Newt Gingrich got out of the race since he has NO chance of winning the nomination. As I’ve said before, if he does not, the VOTERS must show him the door by switching to Rick Santorum. The LAST VALUES candidate standing!!!

From: http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/delegates

Current delegate count:

Mitt Romney has 568 delegates (NOT even half way to the total needed!!!)
Rick Santorum has 273 delegates
Newt Gingrich has 135 delegates
Ron Paul has 50 delegates
Jon Huntsman has 2 delegates
Unallocated delegates = 119

1144 delegates needed to win the nomination.

There are 1258 delegates remaining. (Still over ½ of the total delegates are remaining! This is far from over. We are not even half way there!!!)

1) Iowa:

Mitt Romney = 12 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 14 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                       
Ron Paul = 1 delegates
Unallocated = 1 delegate

2) New Hampshire

Mitt Romney = 7 delegates                         
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates                      
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 3 delegates                               
Jon Huntsman = 2 delegates                       
Unallocated = 0 delegates                         

3) South Carolina

Mitt Romney = 2 delegates                         
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates                      
Newt Gingrich = 23 delegates                     
Ron Paul = 0 delegates                               
Unallocated = 0 delegates                        

4) Florida

Mitt Romney = 50 delegates                        
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates                       
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                         
 Ron Paul = 0 delegates                               
Unallocated = 0 delegates                          

5) Nevada

Mitt Romney = 14 delegates                        
Rick Santorum = 3 delegates                       
Newt Gingrich = 6 delegates                         
Ron Paul = 5 delegates                                
Unallocated = 0 delegates                            

6) Colorado                   

Mitt Romney = 9 delegates                          
Rick Santorum = 18 delegates                     
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                         
Ron Paul = 0 delegates                                
Unallocated = 9 delegates                         

7) Minnesota

Mitt Romney = 0 delegates                         
Rick Santorum = 37 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 1 delegates
Ron Paul = 0 delegates                               
Unallocated = 2 delegates

8) Maine

Mitt Romney = 12 delegates
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates                     
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                       
Ron Paul = 10 delegates                            
Unallocated = 2 delegates

9) Missouri

Won by Rick Santorum. Missouri will have a caucus in March to determine delegates. The February primary was early and, to avoid losing ½ of the delegates, no delegates could be allocated through the primary results.

10) Arizona

Mitt Romney = 29 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates                      
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 0 delegates                               
Unallocated = 0 delegates                            

11) Michigan

Mitt Romney = 16 delegates
Rick Santorum = 14 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 0 delegates
Unallocated = 0 delegates
  
12) Washington

Mitt Romney = 30 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 5 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 5 delegates                               
Unallocated = 3 delegates                            

13) Alaska

Mitt Romney = 8 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 8 delegates (Rick picked up one)                    
Newt Gingrich = 2 delegates (Newt lost one)                        
Ron Paul = 6 delegates                               
Unallocated = 3 delegates                            

14) Georgia

Mitt Romney = 21 delegates (Mitt picked up 6)                       
Rick Santorum = 3 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 52 delegates (Newt picked up 5)                        
Ron Paul = 0 delegates                               
Unallocated = 0 delegates                           

15) Idaho

Mitt Romney = 32 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 0 delegates                                
Unallocated = 0 delegates                           

16) Massachusetts

Mitt Romney = 41 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 0 delegates                               
Unallocated = 0 delegates                           

17) North Dakota

Mitt Romney = 7 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 11 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 2 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 8 delegates                               
Unallocated = 0 delegates                           

18) Ohio

Mitt Romney = 35 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 21 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 0 delegates                               
Unallocated = 10 delegates                           

19) Oklahoma

Mitt Romney = 13 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 14 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 13 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 0 delegates                               
Unallocated = 3 delegates                           

20) Tennessee

Mitt Romney = 14 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 29 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 9 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 0 delegates                               
Unallocated = 6 delegates                           

21) Vermont

Mitt Romney = 9 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 4 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 4 delegates                               
Unallocated = 0 delegates                           

22) Virginia (Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich were not on the ballot.)

Mitt Romney = 43 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 3 delegates                               
Unallocated = 3 delegates                           

23) Wyoming

Mitt Romney = 9 delegates (Mitt picked up 1)                       
Rick Santorum = 2 delegates (Rick lost 1)                    
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 1 delegates                               
Unallocated = 17 delegates                          

24) Guam

Mitt Romney = 9 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 0 delegates                               
Unallocated = 0 delegates    

25) Kansas

Mitt Romney = 7 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 33 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 0 delegates                               
Unallocated = 0 delegates

26)
Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands

Mitt Romney = 9 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 0 delegates                               
Unallocated = 0 delegates    

27) Virgin Islands

Mitt Romney = 7 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 1 delegates                               
Unallocated = 1 delegates

28) Alabama

Mitt Romney = 11 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 19 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 12 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 0 delegates                               
Unallocated = 8 delegates

29)
American Samoa

Mitt Romney = 9 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 0 delegates                               
Unallocated = 0 delegates    

30) Hawaii

Mitt Romney = 9 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 5 delegates (Rick picked up 1)                    
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 3 delegates (Ron picked up 2)                               
Unallocated = 3 delegates

31) Mississippi

Mitt Romney = 14 delegates (Although Rick won the vote, super delegates support Mitt)    
Rick Santorum = 13 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 12 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 0 delegates                               
Unallocated = 1 delegate                        

March 17: Missouri begins its caucus process. Rick won the popular vote earlier and should do extremely well in the caucus vote. Count not yet determined! 52 delegates at stake.

32) Puerto Rico
Mitt Romney = 22 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 1 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 0 delegates                               
Unallocated = 0 delegates    

33) Illinois
Mitt Romney = 43 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 10 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 0 delegates                               
Unallocated = 16 delegates    
March 24: Louisiana (46 delegates)  

Mitt Romney = 5 delegates                       
Rick Santorum = 10 delegates                    
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates                        
Ron Paul = 0 delegates                               
Unallocated = 31 delegates    
April primaries and caucuses
April 3
District of Columbia
Maryland
Wisconsin
April 24
Connecticut
Delaware
New York
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Obviously, through April, no one will have won a majority of the delegates if Rick Santorum stays in the race. Send MONEY! Give of your TIME! Send PRAYERS!!!