RICK SANTORUM for President: http://www.ricksantorum.com/index.php
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Tazewell County, Illinois General Assembly, and Illinois Congressional candidates and information links may be found at:
From Rick Santorum
“Don
Hi my name is John Yob and I am assisting the Santorum campaign with delegate tracking.”
“If you watch cable news then you know the Romney campaign is spending all of their energy these days talking about how the delegate race is over and Mitt Romney will be the nominee. Nothing could be further from the truth. (My placing this material in red!—my addition)
Here are some thoughts to guide you through the news coverage this week about the race for RNC delegates.
Over the weeks and months ahead, I will email you periodically to update you on the process, provide you with the truth and help you cut through the Romney campaign’s spin. (And I will post on my delegate count link!—my addition)
Thank you for all you are doing to support Rick Santorum for President!
Proud to stand with Rick,
John Yob
Romney Frontloaded Friendly States
Romney supporters on the Republican National Committee manipulated the calendar to front-load several of the states that were favorable towards him. That was beneficial to his early lead in the delegate count, however it is problematic for him as the race continues and moves towards less friendly states. This is one of the reasons that they have been emphasizing their fuzzy delegate math after Super Tuesday.
Race Moves towards Santorum’s Strength
The race for the nomination will soon start to move towards primaries and caucuses that are more favorable terrain for Rick Santorum. (Texas and Pennsylvania for two!—my addition) More importantly, the race will eventually move from primaries and caucuses that are often beauty contests to real county and state convention contests where actual delegates to the national convention are elected.
Anyone who knows anything about state conventions knows that the most conservative candidate has a big advantage over a moderate candidate. (My placing this material in red!—my addition) In many cases, this advantage is overwhelming.
Romney’s Delegate Problem
Romney has a delegate problem in that he will have a very hard time getting his moderate supporters elected as delegates in these convention systems. This was evident in Iowa this weekend where the Romney operation collapsed, and Santorum and Paul gained delegates.
The Real Calendar
The Real Calendar (TRC) officially kicked off this weekend in Iowa where activists gathered to begin the process of electing national convention delegates. It is clear to anyone who understands this process that a moderate candidate like Mitt Romney is going to have a difficult time winning as many delegates to the national convention in an Iowa County and State Convention system as the media calculated based on the Open Caucus system that took place in January. This system will play out in state after state, and although there will be hiccups in certain states, on average Rick Santorum will gain far more delegates than Mitt Romney through this delegate election process.
The Real Count
The count largely depends on how you calculate the delegates in states such as Iowa that have not yet elected their National Convention Delegates. For example, the RNC currently gives Santorum 0 delegates for Iowa, the media gives him 7. We believe he will end up with more than 7 delegates as the process plays out. We also believe that Romney will receive less.
Most of the publicly available delegate counts are fundamentally flawed because none of them have taken into account that conservative grassroots activists at county and state conventions will elect more Santorum delegates than a primary or even caucus beauty contest in the same respective state would allocate.
Therefore, the Real Counts are far better than the projected counts and will continue to improve as the National Convention approaches and states elect their actual convention delegates. The Santorum campaign will keep a tally called the Real Count moving forward. It will be based on the results of both the Real Calendar and the Traditional Calendar.”
As I’ve been saying all along! This race is FAR FROM OVER and RICK SANTORUM now has the momentum!!! It would be helpful though if Newt Gingrich got out of the race since he has NO chance of winning the nomination. As I’ve said before, if he does not, the VOTERS must show him the door by switching to Rick Santorum. The LAST VALUES candidate standing!!!
From: http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/delegates
Current delegate count:
Mitt Romney has 495 delegates
Rick Santorum has 252 delegates
Newt Gingrich has 131 delegates
Ron Paul has 48 delegates
Jon Huntsman has 2 delegates
Unallocated delegates = 65
1144 delegates needed to win the nomination.
1358 delegates remaining.
1) Iowa:
Mitt Romney = 12 delegates
Rick Santorum = 14 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 1 delegates
Unallocated = 1 delegate
2) New Hampshire
2) New Hampshire
Mitt Romney = 7 delegates
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 3 delegates
Jon Huntsman = 2 delegates
Unallocated = 0 delegates
3) South Carolina
3) South Carolina
Mitt Romney = 2 delegates
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 23 delegates
Ron Paul = 0 delegates
Unallocated = 0 delegates
4) Florida
4) Florida
Mitt Romney = 50 delegates
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 0 delegates
Unallocated = 0 delegates
5) Nevada
5) Nevada
Mitt Romney = 14 delegates
Rick Santorum = 3 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 6 delegates
Ron Paul = 5 delegates
Unallocated = 0 delegates
6) Colorado
6) Colorado
Mitt Romney = 9 delegates
Rick Santorum = 18 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 0 delegates
Unallocated = 9 delegates
7) Minnesota
7) Minnesota
Mitt Romney = 0 delegates
Rick Santorum = 37 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 1 delegates
Ron Paul = 0 delegates
Unallocated = 2 delegates
8) Maine
8) Maine
Mitt Romney = 12 delegates
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 10 delegates
Unallocated = 2 delegates
9) Missouri
Won by Rick Santorum. Missouri will have a caucus in March to determine delegates. The February primary was early and, to avoid losing ½ of the delegates, no delegates could be allocated through the primary results.
10) Arizona
Mitt Romney = 29 delegates
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 0 delegates
Unallocated = 0 delegates
11) Michigan
Mitt Romney = 16 delegates
Rick Santorum = 14 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 0 delegates
Unallocated = 0 delegates
Primaries and caucuses after March 1, 2012
12) Washington
Mitt Romney = 30 delegates
Rick Santorum = 5 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 5 delegates
Unallocated = 3 delegates
13) Alaska
Mitt Romney = 8 delegates
Rick Santorum = 7 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 3 delegates
Ron Paul = 6 delegates
Unallocated = 3 delegates
14) Georgia
Mitt Romney = 15 delegates
Rick Santorum = 3 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 47 delegates
Ron Paul = 0 delegates
Unallocated = 11 delegates
15) Idaho
Mitt Romney = 32 delegates
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 0 delegates
Unallocated = 0 delegates
16) Massachusetts
Mitt Romney = 41 delegates
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 0 delegates
Unallocated = 0 delegates
17) North Dakota
Mitt Romney = 7 delegates
Rick Santorum = 11 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 2 delegates
Ron Paul = 8 delegates
Unallocated = 0 delegates
18) Ohio
Mitt Romney = 35 delegates
Rick Santorum = 21 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 0 delegates
Unallocated = 10 delegates
19) Oklahoma
Mitt Romney = 13 delegates
Rick Santorum = 14 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 13 delegates
Ron Paul = 0 delegates
Unallocated = 3 delegates
20) Tennessee
Mitt Romney = 14 delegates
Rick Santorum = 29 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 9 delegates
Ron Paul = 0 delegates
Unallocated = 6 delegates
21) Vermont
Mitt Romney = 9 delegates
Rick Santorum = 4 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 4 delegates
Unallocated = 0 delegates
22) Virginia (Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich were not on the ballot.)
Mitt Romney = 43 delegates
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 3 delegates
Unallocated = 3 delegates
23) Wyoming
Mitt Romney = 8 delegates
Rick Santorum = 3 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 1 delegates
Unallocated = 17 delegates
24) Guam
Mitt Romney = 9 delegates
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 0 delegates
Unallocated = 0 delegates
25) Kansas
Mitt Romney = 7 delegates
Rick Santorum = 33 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 0 delegates
Unallocated = 0 delegates
26) Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands
Mitt Romney = 9 delegates
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 0 delegates
Unallocated = 0 delegates
27) Virgin Islands
Mitt Romney = 7 delegates
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 1 delegates
Unallocated = 1 delegates
28) Alabama
Mitt Romney = 11 delegates
Rick Santorum = 19 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 12 delegates
Ron Paul = 0 delegates
Unallocated = 8 delegates
29) American Samoa
Mitt Romney = 9 delegates
Rick Santorum = 0 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 0 delegates
Unallocated = 0 delegates
30) Hawaii
Mitt Romney = 9 delegates
Rick Santorum = 4 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 0 delegates
Ron Paul = 1 delegates
Unallocated = 6 delegates
31) Mississippi
Mitt Romney = 14 delegates (Although Rick won the vote super delegates support Mitt)
Rick Santorum = 13 delegates
Newt Gingrich = 12 delegates
Ron Paul = 0 delegates
Unallocated = 1 delegates
Other March primaries and caucuses:
March 17: Missouri begins its caucus process. Rick won the popular vote earlier and should do extremely well in the caucus vote.
March 18: Puerto Rico
March 20: Illinois
March 24: Louisiana
